SET Training - Banking and Fintech

The trade war didn’t take the weekend off—and neither did the ripple effects shaking the global economy. If you found yourself tossing around the word “tariff” more than usual during your weekend chats with friends and family, you’re not alone. President Trump’s escalating trade policies have everyone on edge, from Wall Street to foreign capitals. Here’s a deep dive into the latest developments as of April 7, 2025, that are keeping the world buzzing—and markets trembling. First up, the big news: as of just after midnight on Saturday, a baseline 10% tariff slammed into effect on virtually all goods imported into the United States. It’s a sweeping move that’s already sending shockwaves through supply chains. But that’s just the appetizer. Come Wednesday, April 9, much steeper “reciprocal” tariffs are set to kick in, targeting specific exporting giants. Take Vietnam, a manufacturing powerhouse—starting midweek, it’ll face a whopping 46% tariff on its goods heading to the U.S. This stagger...

Elon Musk's Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), launched under President Donald Trump, claims to be slashing U.S. federal spending by eliminating fraud, cutting wasteful contracts, and shutting down entire agencies. Musk has promised $2 trillion in annual savings, yet government spending has remained virtually unchanged since Trump took office. Despite DOGE’s high-profile cuts—including the closure of USAID and reductions in diversity and inclusion programs—official Treasury data contradicts Musk’s claims, showing that federal spending has actually increased slightly, averaging $30 billion per day, up from $26 billion under Biden. One major challenge is that only about 10% of the budget is realistically within DOGE’s control. The majority of federal expenditures (about two-thirds) are mandatory spending on Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid, while another 10% is allocated to interest on national debt. Even if Musk eliminated all government fraud—estimated at $233 billi...

If dealmaking means wielding the threat of catastrophe to secure incremental gains, then Donald Trump has long mastered the art. His approach to global trade has been one of brinkmanship—leveraging the threat of tariffs to force concessions. His February 3rd move to grant Canada and Mexico a 30-day reprieve from a punishing 25% tariff on automobiles was a textbook example of this strategy. In exchange, he secured a modest but tangible boost in border security cooperation, including 10,000 additional Mexican troops and a reiteration of prior commitments. Was this "dumbest trade war in history" also the shortest? Investors seem to think so. When Trump initially threatened tariffs, the S&P 500 dropped 3%, only to recover more than half its losses after his deal with Mexico. But this optimism may be misplaced. The assumption that Trump’s trade aggression is merely a negotiating tactic underestimates its potential for long-term disruption. The reality is that his trade war may...

   It appears the Bank of England has accidentally launched a Black Friday sale on gold—except it’s not even Friday, and the discounts are driven by global panic rather than holiday cheer. With traders bracing for potential Trump tariffs, the rush to get bullion stateside has turned into a financial version of “The Hunger Games.” Normally, gold in the BOE vault behaves like a well-mannered aristocrat, aligning perfectly with London market prices. But now? It’s acting like a rogue street vendor, undercutting the market by more than $5 an ounce. That’s a big deal when you consider that previous fluctuations have been in the range of a few measly cents—barely enough to cover a vending machine snack, let alone shake up the gold market. Traders are queueing up for weeks just to withdraw metal, which raises the question: Is this gold or a hot new sneaker release? If this trend continues, we might see ticket scalpers outside the BOE vault, whispering, “Psst… wanna buy some gold?” ...

Donald Trump's latest brainwave about revisiting American expansionism caused the usual media meltdown, with everyone clutching their pearls over comments about Canada, Greenland, and the Panama Canal. By Wednesday afternoon, his aides were backpedaling faster than a unicyclist in reverse, trying to erase Trump's wild talk about a US military takeover of the Gaza Strip. Meanwhile, under the radar, Elon Musk was playing the real-life version of "SimGovernment," dismantling parts of the American bureaucracy like a kid taking apart a LEGO set. Musk, who apparently decides his own conflict of interest status (because why not?), has shifted his sights from USAID and the Treasury to the agencies handling Medicare and Medicaid—programs that keep a significant chunk of the population from turning into real-life Oliver Twists asking for more. Musk’s grand plan to close down federal offices and slash funding has sparked protests nationwide, with people chanting, "Save our ...

Even if your company has never faced tariffs and has no direct dealings with China, Canada, or Mexico, prepare for potential impacts from the second Trump administration's tariff policies, as highlighted by PwC experts at the 2025 Tax Policy Media Breakfast. According to Chris Desmond, PwC’s US global trade services principal, tariffs could deliver "a big shock to the operating model" for unprepared companies. However, there's substantial uncertainty around which countries will be targeted, the scale of tariffs, their implementation timeline, and even their actual imposition. Krishnan Chandrasekhar, PwC US tax leader, emphasized the role of tariffs as negotiation tools, a dynamic exemplified by the rapid escalation and de-escalation of US-Colombia tariff threats on January 26. In this unpredictable environment, PwC recommends that business leaders engage in extensive scenario planning. Finance leaders should thoroughly understand how different tariffs could affect the...

Looks like Trump thought he could bully Canada with tariffs like he was shooing a goose off his golf course, but oh boy, did he pick the wrong country for his antics. After he announced his 25% tariff threat, Canadians, known for their politeness, got a bit... un-Canadian. At sports arenas, instead of the usual respectful silence during the U.S. anthem, fans decided it was time for a good old-fashioned jeer fest. Social media lit up faster than a bonfire with hashtags like #BoycottUSA, and whispers of selling off those sunny Florida getaways were heard from Vancouver to Halifax. But the real kicker? Canada's contemplating giving the U.S. auto industry such a cold shoulder it might just freeze over, threatening layoffs colder than a Winnipeg winter. And in the ultimate twist of fate, Ontario's decided to give Elon Musk's Starlink the cold boot, because apparently, even space isn't safe from this trade tiff. My Musings: This is less a trade war and more like watching C...

An analysis of reactions of banking, fintech and tech leaders to the re-election of Donald Trump, tends to focus on the potential impacts across various sectors including finance, climate policy, banking, technology, fintech, and cryptocurrency. Here's a breakdown by key subject areas: Economy and Markets: Analysts predict that Trump’s policies will focus on expanding U.S. fiscal policy, reducing regulation, and promoting aggressive trade tactics. Daniel Casali of Evelyn Partners notes the likelihood of tax cuts, which could benefit equities and drive growth. However, others warn that this economic boost may come with long-term global consequences. Climate Policy: The administration’s stance is expected to be less focused on climate initiatives, echoing Trump’s first term, which could stall global climate progress unless other nations take up the slack. Garry White of Charles Stanley anticipates fewer regulations on fossil fuels and a decrease in subsidies for green investments, p...

A New York judge ordered Donald Trump and his business to pay $355 million for misrepresenting his wealth for financial gain. Veteran New York trial and appellate lawyer Mark Zauderer explains what’s at stake for Trump’s business empire.

Former U.S. President Donald Trump has been charged with 34 felony counts of falsifying business records after a Manhattan grand jury voted to indict him for his alleged role in arranging a hush-money payment to porn star Stormy Daniels.  Ashby Jones of the Wall Street Journal explains what you need to know about the charges.

A yearslong legal battle for President Trump’s tax returns has finally ended. And it’s yielded 6 years of his detailed returns. WSJ explains what we learned about Trump's income and how the returns were made public.