How will Donald Trump’s victory affect banks, fintech, and tech?

An analysis of reactions of banking, fintech and tech leaders to the re-election of Donald Trump, tends to focus on the potential impacts across various sectors including finance, climate policy, banking, technology, fintech, and cryptocurrency. Here's a breakdown by key subject areas:

Economy and Markets: Analysts predict that Trump’s policies will focus on expanding U.S. fiscal policy, reducing regulation, and promoting aggressive trade tactics. Daniel Casali of Evelyn Partners notes the likelihood of tax cuts, which could benefit equities and drive growth. However, others warn that this economic boost may come with long-term global consequences.


Climate Policy: The administration’s stance is expected to be less focused on climate initiatives, echoing Trump’s first term, which could stall global climate progress unless other nations take up the slack. Garry White of Charles Stanley anticipates fewer regulations on fossil fuels and a decrease in subsidies for green investments, prioritizing domestic economic growth over environmental goals.


Banking Sector: Trump’s deregulation agenda could create a "boom" for banking, according to Wells Fargo’s Mike Mayo. Reduced regulatory oversight could improve banks' profitability, especially for major players like Citi, as it may lower compliance costs, increase lending, and bolster investment banking revenues.


Technology Sector: Many major tech figures, including Peter Thiel, back Trump due to anticipated tax cuts. Trump's policies may continue to favor big tech, reducing corporate tax rates further to stimulate tech-driven growth, though concerns about fiscal deficits might moderate the extent of these cuts.


Fintech Industry: Trump’s administration may ease regulatory requirements, which could allow more neobanks and new players to enter the market, as highlighted by DECTA’s Scott Dawson. While this could increase competition, there are concerns it may attract low-quality entrants, leading to a “race to the bottom” in fintech standards.


Cryptocurrency: Trump’s presidency is viewed as highly favorable for cryptocurrency. His connections with influential tech figures, like Elon Musk and Peter Thiel, signal strong support for crypto, with bitcoin recently surging to a record high. Proponents, like Nigel Green from deVere Group, believe Trump’s backing could drive institutional investment and mainstream adoption of crypto. However, data from Zellix reveals that pro-crypto sentiment is also high in states voting Democrat.

In summary, Trump’s election brings expectations of economic expansion through tax cuts and deregulation, benefiting traditional finance, banking, and tech sectors. Yet, it may also increase volatility, environmental setbacks, and raise questions about fintech regulation and crypto investment pathways.

Unraveling the Mystery: Bitcoin's Meteoric Rise and the Cryptocurrency Problem

Read my new article on Substack on the complex landscape of bitcoin's surge and the unresolved mysteries of cryptocurrency - is it an asset, gambling or a scam?

Free access HERE

 

FTX Founder Faces 115 Years in Jail

Sam Bankman-Fried and his company FTX were once the stars of the crypto space but all was not as it seemed. After his fraud was uncovered, he was held up as everything wrong with the financial world. 

We examine the trial of SBF, where the money went and how his ex-girlfriend Caroline Ellison told all.

Warren Buffett: Why You Should NEVER Invest In Bitcoin

Warren Buffett is the greatest investor of all time. In this video you will hear his opinion on Bitcoin, including the new 2021 comments! Very important to watch this regardless of your attitude to cryptocurrencies (and absolutely necessary if you own any of them!) As Charlie Munger says, “If you disagree with somebody, you want to be able to state their case better than they can.” And at that point you've earned the right to disagree with them.

Warren E. Buffett is an American long-term investor, philanthropist, business tycoon, and the chairman & CEO of Berkshire Hathaway. He is considered one of the most successful investors in the world and has a net worth over 100 billion dollars. Buffett was born in Omaha, Nebraska. He developed an interest in business and investing in his youth and made truly incredible stock market returns over his career.

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"After several weeks of powerful testimonies for the prosecution in the FTX trial in New York, you might have thought the strongest ones had come and gone. Not so: this week Nishad Singh, the former head of engineering at the now-collapsed exchange, took the stand and delivered more blows to Bankman-Fried. 

 Like many senior FTX people, he had connections to SBF that go back long before they became famous, then infamous. He was the best friend of Bankman-Fried’s younger brother at high school and shared SBF’s interest in effective altruism. And in common with Gary Wang and Caroline Ellison, also part of Bankman-Fried’s inner circle, Singh said he committed financial crimes and did so in concert with Bankman-Fried.  

 But Singh’s testimony also stands apart from that which came before him by offering a window into the emotional toll this alleged fraud had on Bankman-Fried’s associates."

Read the full story HERE.

The Trial of Crypto’s Golden Boy: Where Did The Money Go?

Over the course of Sam Bankman-Fried’s trial, the jury has seen evidence and heard testimony about the money circulating through FTX and Alameda. Rachel Humphreys and Caitlin Ostroff break down the prosecution’s case, and trace where the government says the money was coming from and where it went.

Listen HERE.

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Nishad Singh— another critical member of Sam Bankman-Fried’s inner circle— testified Monday saying FTX customer money was used to fund political donations and that he pushed back on Bankman-Fried’s spending on celebrities. Rachel Humphreys and Caitlin Ostroff unpack his testimony and discuss a medical issue Bankman-Fried raised to the judge.

Listen HERE.

The Trial of Crypto’s Golden Boy: The First Key Witness

Gary Wang, FTX’s former chief technology officer, took the stand in the government’s case against Sam Bankman-Fried. Producer Rachel Humphreys and WSJ’s Caitlin Ostroff discuss what Wang says he knows about the secret code that allowed Alameda Research to borrow billions of dollars of customer money from FTX.

Listen HERE - The Trial of Crypto’s Golden Boy: The First Key Witness

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Sam Bankman-Fried was supposed to be a billionaire genius running the world's largest Crypto exchange: FTX. In only a few weeks, his $32B empire crumbled, leading to his arrest. In this video, we unravel one of the decade's most significant cases of financial fraud.

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After his TerraUSD cryptocurrency imploded, Do Kwon became one of the most wanted men in crypto.

Last week, after a global manhunt, he was arrested at an airport in Montenegro. WSJ’s Alexander Osipovich tells the story of how Kwon went from being a major crypto player to facing fraud charges in several countries.

Listen to this story from WSJ HERE.

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Bitcoin, the nearly $500 billion cryptocurrency, isn't controlled by any one person or company. But there are five mysterious coders that keep it all running. 

If you talk to a cryptocurrency enthusiast, one of the things that they might say is so great about Bitcoin is that it's decentralized. It's not controlled by a government or a company or any single group. But that's not exactly true.

WSJ's Paul Kiernan reports on the "maintainers" behind bitcoin.

Check it out HERE.